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The Lakes FC vs Albany Creek

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Shaughnessy R.
42' Event
Fogarty D.
68' Event
Fearn J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
The Lakes FC
15%
Draws
39%
Albany Creek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: The Lakes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albany Creek lately — more wins on the board than The Lakes FC.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on The Lakes FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 17%
Albany Creek Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Lakes FC Albany Creek
Matches Played 23 35
Wins 13 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.7 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs Albany Creek
2:2
May 28, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs The Lakes FC
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fearn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Albany Creek Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaughnessy R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Lakes FC 84 / 100
Albany Creek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Lakes FC Albany Creek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Lakes FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Lakes FC found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (23 games).

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Albany Creek conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: The Lakes FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Albany Creek
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

The Lakes FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Bayside United
5 : 2
The Lakes FC
26 Sept
Brisbane Knights
1 : 8
The Lakes FC
19 Sept
Gravatt
0 : 3
The Lakes FC
11 Sept
The Lakes FC
1 : 1
Centenary Stormers
04 Sept
The Gap
1 : 0
The Lakes FC
Page 1 of 5

Albany Creek

(Away)
03 Sept
Capalaba FC
3 : 5
Albany Creek
26 Aug
Albany Creek
0 : 3
Surfers Paradise Apollo
13 Aug
Albany Creek
2 : 1
Western Pride
30 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
2 : 1
Albany Creek
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2
Sunshine Coast
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albany Creek 22 19 3 0 102:18 60
2 Bayside United 22 14 2 6 48:25 44
3 The Lakes FC 22 13 3 6 60:45 42
4 St. George Willawong 22 12 2 8 56:39 38
5 Gravatt 22 10 3 9 38:41 33
6 Acacia Ridge 22 10 3 9 42:47 33
7 Toowong City 22 9 5 8 47:46 32
8 Univ. of Queensland 22 7 3 12 27:46 24
9 Centenary Stormers 22 6 5 11 30:49 23
10 The Gap 22 4 5 13 19:44 17
11 Western Spirit FC 22 4 4 14 36:70 16
12 Brisbane Knights 22 4 2 16 29:64 14
Promotion - Brisbane Premier League (Play Offs)