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The Strongest vs Dep. Tachira

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Hernando Siles
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Strongest play Dep. Tachira in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, The Strongest averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Dep. Tachira averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, The Strongest won 1, Dep. Tachira won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for The Strongest and 1.25 for Dep. Tachira. This points to a The Strongest double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
The Strongest
22%
Draws
36%
Dep. Tachira
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: The Strongest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • The Strongest picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Tachira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 19%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Strongest Dep. Tachira
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.82 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs The Strongest
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Libertadores
The Strongest vs Dep. Tachira
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Strongest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Calzadilla C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Strongest 42 / 100
Dep. Tachira 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Strongest Dep. Tachira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: The Strongest or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

The Strongest attacking → ← attacking Dep. Tachira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Strongest scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Dep. Tachira let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

The Strongest went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Tachira lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 48
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25