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Thermaikos FC vs Kilkisiakos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Thermaikos FC and Kilkisiakos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilkisiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Thermaikos FC
20%
Draws
36%
Kilkisiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thermaikos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Thermaikos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Thermaikos FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Thermaikos FC Clean Sheet 68%
Kilkisiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thermaikos FC Kilkisiakos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs Kilkisiakos
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kilkisiakos vs Thermaikos FC
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs Kilkisiakos
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kilkisiakos vs Thermaikos FC
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thermaikos FC vs Kilkisiakos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thermaikos FC 59 / 100
Kilkisiakos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thermaikos FC Kilkisiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thermaikos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thermaikos FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Thermaikos FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kilkisiakos let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Thermaikos FC VS Kilkisiakos
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thermaikos FC

(Home)
08 Apr
Orestis Orestiadas
1 : 3
Thermaikos FC
05 Apr
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 0
Thermaikos FC
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
28 Mar
Thermaikos FC
1 : 1
Kilkisiakos
22 Mar
Krya Vrysi
1 : 3
Thermaikos FC
Page 1 of 6

Kilkisiakos

(Away)
03 Oct
Kilkisiakos
0 : 2
Makedonikos Neapolis
27 Sept
Finikas Polichnis
3 : 2
Kilkisiakos
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 2
Kilkisiakos
01 Apr
Kilkisiakos
5 : 3
PAOK Dytikou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)