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Thes Sport vs Hoogstraten

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Gemeentelijk Sportpark
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Match Events

11' Event
Claes A.
30' Event
Voca E.
67' Event
Jochmans P.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Thes Sport and Hoogstraten finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thes Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thes Sport
39%
Draws
30%
Hoogstraten
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hoogstraten's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Thes Sport have produced (1.63).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 10%
Hoogstraten Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thes Sport Hoogstraten
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Hoogstraten
4:2
Oct 18, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Hoogstraten
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 National Division 1
Thes Sport vs Hoogstraten
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thes Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Claes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hoogstraten Compare

Top Goalscorer Voca E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regouin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thes Sport 30 / 100
Hoogstraten 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thes Sport Hoogstraten

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoogstraten has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Thes Sport's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Thes Sport stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thes Sport VS Hoogstraten
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hasselt30195676:2862
2Knokke30194756:4461
3SK Roeselare30159652:3354
4Belisia Bilzen30157862:4352
5Hoogstraten30149754:4251
6Thes Sport30148844:3450
7K. Lyra-Lierse301271145:4443
8Dessel301161361:6539
9Tienen301151438:4638
10Cercle Brugge 2301081241:5338
11Merelbeke301131642:4936
12Zelzate301061452:6136
13Leuven B301031756:6433
14Houtvenne30871540:5331
15Diegem30771652:6928
16Ninove30542140:8319