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Thes Sport vs K. Lyra-Lierse

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Gemeentelijk Sportpark
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thes Sport play K. Lyra-Lierse in the National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026. Thes Sport are favorites here. Recently, Thes Sport averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. K. Lyra-Lierse averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Thes Sport won 3, K. Lyra-Lierse won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Thes Sport and 1.00 for K. Lyra-Lierse. This points to a Thes Sport double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Thes Sport
25%
Draws
15%
K. Lyra-Lierse
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Thes Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Thes Sport picked up more points recently compared to K. Lyra-Lierse.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 23%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thes Sport K. Lyra-Lierse
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Thes Sport
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs K. Lyra-Lierse
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Thes Sport
0:3
Sep 18, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thes Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateso-Liongola C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thes Sport 59 / 100
K. Lyra-Lierse 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thes Sport K. Lyra-Lierse

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thes Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Thes Sport & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thes Sport attacking → ← attacking K. Lyra-Lierse

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thes Sport scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

K. Lyra-Lierse let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Thes Sport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

K. Lyra-Lierse lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 43
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hasselt30195676:2862
2Knokke30194756:4461
3SK Roeselare30159652:3354
4Belisia Bilzen30157862:4352
5Hoogstraten30149754:4251
6Thes Sport30148844:3450
7K. Lyra-Lierse301271145:4443
8Dessel301161361:6539
9Tienen301151438:4638
10Cercle Brugge 2301081241:5338
11Merelbeke301131642:4936
12Zelzate301061452:6136
13Leuven B301031756:6433
14Houtvenne30871540:5331
15Diegem30771652:6928
16Ninove30542140:8319