Sport Picks
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata
Japan
J2/J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi 
Match Events
8'
8'
Disaro A. S.
31'
31'
Kida R.
61'
61'
Sub
Hiraga S. In: Kokubu S.
Out: Hiraga S.
AI Match Summary
Montedio Yamagata in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montedio Yamagata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Thespakusatsu Gunma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montedio Yamagata have won more games recently than Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Thespakusatsu Gunma are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 68%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
4:1
Jun 2, 2024 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Top Goalscorer Disaro A. S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thespakusatsu Gunma 50 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thespakusatsu Gunma Montedio Yamagata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montedio Yamagata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Thespakusatsu Gunma scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Away concern: Montedio Yamagata has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Thespakusatsu Gunma VS Montedio Yamagata
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Home) 07 Jun
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Gifu
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
17 May
Blaublitz
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
09 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Gifu
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
09 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Tochigi City
29 Apr
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
25 Apr
Thespakusatsu Gunma
3 : 1 Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 3
Montedio Yamagata
(Away) 25 Jul
Albirex Niigata
3 : 4 Montedio Yamagata
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
16 May
Tochigi City
3 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Albirex Niigata
3 : 4 Montedio Yamagata
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
16 May
Tochigi City
3 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
29 Apr
Blaublitz
2 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
25 Apr
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
