Sport Picks
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi 
Match Events
25'
25'
Shimakawa T.
Assist: Watahiki K.
45'
45'
Takeuchi T.
60'
60'
Sasaki K.
Assist: Sugimoto R.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Thespakusatsu Gunma and SC Sagamihara finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sagamihara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sagamihara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SC Sagamihara come out ahead of Thespakusatsu Gunma on wins alone.
- Win probability leans SC Sagamihara's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 13%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thespakusatsu Gunma | SC Sagamihara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.16 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara
1:4
May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara
7:2
Mar 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5:0
Sep 27, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs SC Sagamihara
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Konishi H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
SC Sagamihara Compare
Top Goalscorer Sasaki K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Shimakawa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thespakusatsu Gunma 22 / 100
SC Sagamihara 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thespakusatsu Gunma SC Sagamihara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Thespakusatsu Gunma's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
SC Sagamihara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Thespakusatsu Gunma has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Thespakusatsu Gunma VS SC Sagamihara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Home) 10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 3
SC Sagamihara
(Away) 09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2 Kamatamare Sanuki
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1 SC Sagamihara
15 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 4 SC Sagamihara
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
