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Thimphu City vs BFF Academy U19

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City play BFF Academy U19 in the Premier League 2025. Thimphu City are favorites here. Recently, Thimphu City averaged 3.31 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. BFF Academy U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Thimphu City won 5, BFF Academy U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Thimphu City and 1.81 for BFF Academy U19. This points to a Thimphu City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Thimphu City
15%
Draws
27%
BFF Academy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Thimphu City picked up more points recently compared to BFF Academy U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 11%
BFF Academy U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City BFF Academy U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 3.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs BFF Academy U19
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs BFF Academy U19
4:3
Jul 21, 2025 Premier League
BFF Academy U19 vs Thimphu City
1:3
Oct 15, 2024 Premier League
BFF Academy U19 vs Thimphu City
1:2
May 25, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs BFF Academy U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshering D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wangchuk Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

BFF Academy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharma C. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dorji R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 54 / 100
BFF Academy U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City BFF Academy U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Thimphu City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thimphu City attacking → ← attacking BFF Academy U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu City scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

BFF Academy U19 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Thimphu City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

BFF Academy U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 40
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paro18161174:1749
2Thimphu City18141364:2343
3RTC18122462:1938
4Transport United18111646:2734
5BFF Academy U191883740:3627
6Ugyen Academy1881938:4125
7Tsirang18441021:4216
8Tensung18321317:4811
9Southern City18311415:5910
10Samtse18221422:878