Sport Picks

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Thimphu City vs Tensung

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dorji J.
24' Event
Kinzang Tashi T.
42' Event
Ndour T.

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Thimphu City
20%
Draws
17%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Thimphu City have won more games recently than Tensung.
  • Win probability leans Thimphu City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thimphu City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 68%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Tensung
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 24 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 3.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
7:1
Jul 15, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
0:4
Sep 16, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
5:0
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorji J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kinzang Tashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Tensung Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenzin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 95 / 100
Tensung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Tensung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thimphu City scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Tensung's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Thimphu City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu City VS Tensung
3.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu City

(Home)
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
07 Aug
Tsirang
1 : 1
Thimphu City
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
19 Jul
Thimphu City
2 : 0
Thimphu FC
15 Jul
Tensung
0 : 4
Thimphu City
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Tensung

(Away)
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
02 Aug
Transport United
4 : 1
Tensung
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
23 Jul
Tensung
1 : 3
Paro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 13 11 1 1 45:10 34
2 Thimphu City 13 8 4 1 35:10 28
3 Transport United 13 8 1 4 19:15 25
4 Thimphu FC 13 6 1 6 15:19 19
5 RTC 13 5 3 5 13:14 18
6 Drukpa 13 4 5 4 26:20 17
7 Tsirang 14 4 4 6 25:27 16
8 BFF Academy U19 13 4 4 5 24:29 16
9 Tensung 14 2 2 10 10:38 8
10 Ugyen Academy 13 1 1 11 9:39 4
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