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Thimphu City vs Tensung - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dorji J.
24' Event
Kinzang Tashi T.
42' Event
Ndour T.

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Thimphu City
15%
Draws
0%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Thimphu City have won more games recently than Tensung.
  • Win probability leans Thimphu City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Thimphu City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 68%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Tensung
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 3 22
Goals Scored 3.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
7:1
Jul 15, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
0:4
Sep 16, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
5:0
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorji J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kinzang Tashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Tensung Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenzin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 95 / 100
Tensung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Tensung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thimphu City scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Tensung's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Away concern: Tensung has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu City VS Tensung
3.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu City

(Home)
08 Oct
Thimphu City
0 : 2
Paro
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 6

Tensung

(Away)
28 Sept
Tensung
1 : 5
RTC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:12 49
2 Thimphu City 18 12 4 2 49:14 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)