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Thimphu FC vs Tensung - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Thimphu FC Logo

Thimphu FC

4 - 1
FT
Tensung Logo

Tensung

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gyeltshen C.
62' Event
Wangchuk C.
70' Event
Opoku W.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thimphu FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Thimphu FC
15%
Draws
0%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Thimphu FC have won more games recently than Tensung.
  • Thimphu FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 20%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu FC Tensung
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 4
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Tensung
4:1
Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyeltshen C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Tensung Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangchuk C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu FC 85 / 100
Tensung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu FC Tensung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tensung's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Thimphu FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tensung lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Thimphu FC VS Tensung
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu FC

(Home)
30 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 1
Thimphu FC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
Page 1 of 6

Tensung

(Away)
28 Sept
Tensung
1 : 5
RTC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:12 49
2 Thimphu City 18 12 4 2 49:14 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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