Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thionville vs Chambly

France France

National 2 - Group B Stadium Plaine
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thionville play Chambly in the National 2 - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thionville averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Chambly averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Thionville won 0, Chambly won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Thionville and 1.44 for Chambly. This points to a Thionville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thionville
28%
Draws
29%
Chambly
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Thionville picked up more points recently compared to Chambly.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Thionville Clean Sheet 16%
Chambly Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Chambly
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 2 - Group B
Thionville vs Chambly
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Chambly vs Thionville
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 National 2 - Group C
Chambly vs Thionville
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 National 2 - Group C
Thionville vs Chambly
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chambly Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jaques T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 42 / 100
Chambly 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Chambly

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thionville or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thionville attacking → ← attacking Chambly

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Chambly let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Thionville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chambly lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 34
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thionville30186653:3660
2Bourges 18301410635:2452
3Haguenau30149743:2951
4Feignies-Aulnoye301210841:2446
5Furiani Agliani301361145:4045
6Saint-Pryve301261248:4442
7Dieppe301181131:3641
8Borgo301171232:3740
9Epinal301171232:3740
10Biesheim3010101031:3739
11Colmar309111041:4337
12Beauvais309111039:4235
13Wasquehal301041628:4434
14Chambly309101135:3534
15Chantilly30691532:4227
16Blois Foot 4130741931:4725