Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thionville vs Chambly

France France

National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 Stadium Plaine, Thionville
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Jaques T.
69' Event
Marques A.
73' Event
Marques A.

AI Match Summary

Chambly in this National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chambly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Thionville
15%
Draws
40%
Chambly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thionville have won more games recently than Chambly.
  • Thionville are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chambly have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Thionville Clean Sheet 10%
Chambly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Chambly
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Thionville vs Chambly
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Chambly vs Thionville
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Chambly vs Thionville
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Thionville vs Chambly
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Chambly Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jaques T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 40 / 100
Chambly 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Chambly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Thionville has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chambly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Chambly
2 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 57%
75% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
29 Aug
Thionville
1 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Thionville
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3
Caen
07 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 3
Thionville
01 Aug
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Thionville
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Chambly

(Away)
22 Aug
Haguenau
0 : 1
Chambly
31 Jul
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Chambly
16 May
Thionville
0 : 4
Chambly
09 May
Chambly
6 : 0
Colmar
02 May
Feignies-Aulnoye
3 : 0
Chambly
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 30 18 6 6 53:36 60
2 Bourges 18 30 14 10 6 35:24 52
3 Haguenau 30 14 9 7 43:29 51
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 12 10 8 41:24 46
5 Furiani Agliani 30 13 6 11 45:40 45
6 Saint-Pryve 30 12 6 12 48:44 42
7 Dieppe 30 11 8 11 31:36 41
8 Borgo 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Epinal 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
10 Biesheim 30 10 10 10 31:37 39
11 Colmar 30 9 11 10 41:43 37
12 Beauvais 30 9 11 10 39:42 35
13 Wasquehal 30 10 4 16 28:44 34
14 Chambly 30 9 10 11 35:35 34
15 Chantilly 30 6 9 15 32:42 27
16 Blois Foot 41 30 7 4 19 31:47 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)