Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thionville vs Chantilly

France France

National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 Stadium Plaine, Thionville
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Labissiere B.
45' Event
Gourichy C.
53' Event
Gourichy C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 game between Thionville and Chantilly finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thionville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Thionville
30%
Draws
23%
Chantilly
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thionville come out ahead of Chantilly on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Thionville's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Thionville have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Thionville Clean Sheet 68%
Chantilly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Chantilly
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Thionville vs Chantilly
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Chantilly vs Thionville
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Chantilly vs Thionville
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Thionville vs Chantilly
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Gourichy C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Labissiere B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Chantilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Karamoko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 77 / 100
Chantilly 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Chantilly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thionville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Chantilly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Thionville remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Chantilly
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3
Caen
07 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 3
Thionville
01 Aug
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Thionville
18 Jul
Thionville
2 : 2
Nancy
11 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 5
Thionville
Page 1 of 7

Chantilly

(Away)
16 May
Epinal
3 : 2
Chantilly
09 May
Chantilly
1 : 1
Bourges 18
02 May
Chantilly
3 : 2
Saint-Pryve
25 Apr
Thionville
3 : 1
Chantilly
18 Apr
Chantilly
1 : 1
Biesheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 30 18 6 6 53:36 60
2 Bourges 18 30 14 10 6 35:24 52
3 Haguenau 30 14 9 7 43:29 51
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 12 10 8 41:24 46
5 Furiani Agliani 30 13 6 11 45:40 45
6 Saint-Pryve 30 12 6 12 48:44 42
7 Dieppe 30 11 8 11 31:36 41
8 Borgo 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Epinal 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
10 Biesheim 30 10 10 10 31:37 39
11 Colmar 30 9 11 10 41:43 37
12 Beauvais 30 9 11 10 39:42 35
13 Wasquehal 30 10 4 16 28:44 34
14 Chambly 30 9 10 11 35:35 34
15 Chantilly 30 6 9 15 32:42 27
16 Blois Foot 41 30 7 4 19 31:47 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)