Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thionville vs Epinal

France France

National 2 - Group B Stadium Plaine
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thionville play Epinal in the National 2 - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thionville averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Epinal averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Thionville won 1, Epinal won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Thionville and 1.25 for Epinal. This points to a Thionville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thionville
30%
Draws
30%
Epinal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Thionville picked up more points recently compared to Epinal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Thionville Clean Sheet 19%
Epinal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Epinal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.84 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National 2 - Group B
Thionville vs Epinal
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Epinal vs Thionville
0:2
May 3, 2025 National 2 - Group C
Thionville vs Epinal
0:1
Jan 31, 2025 National 2 - Group C
Epinal vs Thionville
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Moustaid J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aljic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Epinal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bussmann G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 40 / 100
Epinal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Epinal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thionville or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thionville attacking → ← attacking Epinal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Epinal let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Thionville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Epinal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 40
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thionville30186653:3660
2Bourges 18301410635:2452
3Haguenau30149743:2951
4Feignies-Aulnoye301210841:2446
5Furiani Agliani301361145:4045
6Saint-Pryve301261248:4442
7Dieppe301181131:3641
8Borgo301171232:3740
9Epinal301171232:3740
10Biesheim3010101031:3739
11Colmar309111041:4337
12Beauvais309111039:4235
13Wasquehal301041628:4434
14Chambly309101135:3534
15Chantilly30691532:4227
16Blois Foot 4130741931:4725