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Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

Asteras Kaisarianis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thiva F.C. play Asteras Kaisarianis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thiva F.C. averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Asteras Kaisarianis averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Thiva F.C. won 0, Asteras Kaisarianis won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 23, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Thiva F.C. and 1.74 for Asteras Kaisarianis. This points to a Asteras Kaisarianis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Thiva F.C.

20%

Draws

54%

Asteras Kaisarianis

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asteras Kaisarianis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Thiva F.C. picked up more points recently compared to Asteras Kaisarianis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Thiva F.C. Clean Sheet 12%

Asteras Kaisarianis Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thiva F.C.	Asteras Kaisarianis
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	6	16
Draws	5	9
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	0.87	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.77	0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Thiva F.C. vs Asteras Kaisarianis

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Nov 10, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Asteras Kaisarianis vs Thiva F.C.

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thiva F.C. 26 / 100

Asteras Kaisarianis 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thiva F.C. Asteras Kaisarianis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Kaisarianis Win (2)

Secondary Pick Asteras Kaisarianis & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thiva F.C. attacking → ← attacking Asteras Kaisarianis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thiva F.C. scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Asteras Kaisarianis let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Thiva F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Asteras Kaisarianis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 57

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16