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Tho Mayas vs Ciervos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Tho Mayas Logo

Tho Mayas

4 - 1
FT
Ciervos Logo

Ciervos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 game between Tho Mayas and Ciervos finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tho Mayas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tho Mayas
30%
Draws
23%
Ciervos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tho Mayas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciervos haven't matched Tho Mayas's recent run of results.
  • Tho Mayas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tho Mayas Clean Sheet 68%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tho Mayas Ciervos
Matches Played 26 35
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.54 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Tho Mayas vs Ciervos
4:1
Sep 3, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Tho Mayas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tho Mayas 95 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tho Mayas Ciervos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tho Mayas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciervos let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

Tho Mayas found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tho Mayas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciervos
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tho Mayas

(Home)
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Tho Mayas
0 : 0
Pioneros
01 Apr
Pioneros
1 : 1
Tho Mayas
25 Mar
Tho Mayas
2 : 0
Mazorqueros
Page 1 of 6

Ciervos

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calor De San Pedro 10 7 2 1 20:5 24
2 Tho Mayas 10 6 3 1 17:6 23
3 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 18:6 20
4 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 10 5 2 3 19:4 17
5 Chilpancingo 10 5 2 3 14:12 16
6 Huracanes Izcalli 10 4 2 4 15:15 15
7 Mazorqueros 10 4 1 5 13:13 15
8 Zitacuaro 10 3 4 3 15:12 12
9 Atl. Angelopolis 10 3 0 7 8:26 9
10 Ciervos 10 1 1 8 14:30 6
11 Canoneros FC 10 1 1 8 9:33 4
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)