Sport Picks
Thonon Evian W vs Bourges 18 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Coupe de la Ligue Women 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thonon Evian W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Thonon Evian W have won more games recently than Bourges 18 W.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Thonon Evian W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Thonon Evian W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 18%
Bourges 18 W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thonon Evian W | Bourges 18 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 9 |
| Wins | 13 | 0 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Bourges 18 W
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thonon Evian W 31 / 100
Bourges 18 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thonon Evian W Bourges 18 W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Thonon Evian W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Bourges 18 W let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Bourges 18 W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Thonon Evian W VS Bourges 18 W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Thonon Evian W
(Home) 21 Oct
Thonon Evian W
2 : 1 Bourges 18 W
17 Oct
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0 Auxerre W
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0 Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1 Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2 Metz W
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Thonon Evian W
2 : 1 Bourges 18 W
17 Oct
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0 Auxerre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2 Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1 St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0 Toulouse W
Page 1 of 4
Bourges 18 W
(Away) 21 Oct
Thonon Evian W
2 : 1 Bourges 18 W
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0 Bourges 18 W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3 St Etienne W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2 Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2 Le Mans W
Page 1 of 2
21 Oct
Thonon Evian W
2 : 1 Bourges 18 W
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0 Bourges 18 W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2 Bourges 18 W
22 Aug
Strasbourg W
2 : 1 Bourges 18 W
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Strasbourg W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Auxerre W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Lens W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Thonon Evian W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Fleury 91 W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Le Mans W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 8 | St Etienne W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Le Havre W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Roubaix W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Saint-Malo W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 12 | Nantes W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Montpellier W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Cannes W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Grenoble W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Lille W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 17 | Nice W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 18 | Bourges 18 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 19 | Toulouse W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 20 | Metz W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)
