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Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bouzid W.
30' Event
Charbonnier C.
58' Event
Baga L.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Thonon Evian W and Grenoble W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenoble W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Thonon Evian W
20%
Draws
0%
Grenoble W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thonon Evian W come out ahead of Grenoble W on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Thonon Evian W taking it.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 13%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Grenoble W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
0:1
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Thonon Evian W vs Grenoble W
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Thonon Evian W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzid W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Grenoble W Compare

Top Goalscorer Charbonnier C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baga L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 84 / 100
Grenoble W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Grenoble W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thonon Evian W scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Grenoble W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Thonon Evian W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grenoble W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Grenoble W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
31 Jul
Thonon Evian W
4 : 4
Marseille W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
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Grenoble W

(Away)
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
16 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 1
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)