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Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W

France France

Coupe de France Women
Thonon Evian W Logo

Thonon Evian W

0 - 1
FT
Marseille W Logo

Marseille W

Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Elisor S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Thonon Evian W
20%
Draws
52%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Marseille W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marseille W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Marseille W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marseille W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Marseille W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Thonon Evian W
6:1
Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W
4:4
Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Thonon Evian W
5:0
Oct 20, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Marseille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Elisor S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 10 / 100
Marseille W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Marseille W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Thonon Evian W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Marseille W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
Page 1 of 7

Marseille W

(Away)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4