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Stadium Background

Thonon Evian W vs Saint-Malo W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Umeugochukwu C. M.
47' Event
Eninger T.
80' Event
Leveau R.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women game between Thonon Evian W and Saint-Malo W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Malo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thonon Evian W
40%
Draws
29%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Malo W come out ahead of Thonon Evian W on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Saint-Malo W
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Thonon Evian W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Saint-Malo W
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Thonon Evian W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Umeugochukwu C. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eninger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leveau R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 32 / 100
Saint-Malo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Saint-Malo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Saint-Malo W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Thonon Evian W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Saint-Malo W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469