Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thonon Evian W vs Saint-Malo W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Umeugochukwu C. M.
47' Event
Eninger T.
80' Event
Leveau R.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Thonon Evian W and Saint-Malo W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Malo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Thonon Evian W
15%
Draws
39%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Malo W come out ahead of Thonon Evian W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Saint-Malo W
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Thonon Evian W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Saint-Malo W
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Thonon Evian W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Umeugochukwu C. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eninger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leveau R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 37 / 100
Saint-Malo W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Saint-Malo W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Thonon Evian W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Saint-Malo W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
23 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 3
Rennes W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)