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Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Affi Y.
38'
Helgason B.
52'
Robertsson T.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Thor Akureyri and Hafnarfjordur finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thor Akureyri
15%
Draws
49%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hafnarfjordur a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 13%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
2:4
Mar 11, 2025 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
2:2
Mar 6, 2021 League Cup
Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingolfsson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Thor Akureyri's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Thor Akureyri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Hafnarfjordur
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
10 Oct
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
10 Oct
Valur
3 : 5
Hafnarfjordur
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)