Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Willard H.
27'
27'
Gislason F.
33'
33'
Willard H.
AI Match Summary
Thor Akureyri in this Icelandic Cup 2022 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thor Akureyri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Thor Akureyri have won more games recently than Samherjar.
- Model gives Thor Akureyri a 57% chance of winning this.
- Thor Akureyri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Thor Akureyri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Samherjar Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thor Akureyri | Samherjar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 8 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 4.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Samherjar
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thor Akureyri Compare
Top Goalscorer Willard H.
3 Goals Assists Leader Gislason F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Samherjar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thor Akureyri 83 / 100
Samherjar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thor Akureyri Samherjar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thor Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Samherjar conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Thor Akureyri scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Samherjar lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Thor Akureyri VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Thor Akureyri
(Home) 19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0 Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1 Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1 Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2 Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Breidablik
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1 Vikingur Reykjavik
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4
Samherjar
(Away) 05 Apr
Tindastoll
7 : 0 Samherjar
01 Apr
Magni
4 : 0 Samherjar
22 Apr
Thor Akureyri
7 : 0 Samherjar
09 Apr
Hamrarnir
3 : 6 Samherjar
24 Apr
Dalvik/Reynir
7 : 1 Samherjar
Page 1 of 2
05 Apr
Tindastoll
7 : 0 Samherjar
01 Apr
Magni
4 : 0 Samherjar
22 Apr
Thor Akureyri
7 : 0 Samherjar
09 Apr
Hamrarnir
3 : 6 Samherjar
24 Apr
Dalvik/Reynir
7 : 1 Samherjar
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KFK Kopavogur 0
Throttur 1
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Grotta 8
KH Hlidarendi 0
Hafnir 0
KM Reykjavik 1
Volsungur -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 3
Samherjar 6
Sindri 6
Spyrnir 0
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 1
KFR 0
Isbjorninn 1
Selfoss 9
Tindastoll 0
Fjallabyggd 4
TBD -
Magni -
KA Asvellir 4
KB Breidholt 0
Haukar 4
Lettir 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Fjolnir 1
KFG Gardabaer 4
Augnablik 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stokkseyri 0
Hviti 11
RB Keflavik 10
Gullfalkinn 4
Kordrengir 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Alftanes 5
Vestri -
TBD -
Vidir 6
SR Reykjavik 0
Afturelding 5
Ymir 0
Vaengirs 7
Alafoss 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kari 3
Arborg 0
Berserkir / Midas 0
Olafsvik 6
GG Grindavik 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 6
Reynir Hellissandur 5
Skallagrimur 1
Throttur Vogar 0
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kria 5
IBU 8
Reynir 6
Arbaer 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Boltafelag Nordfjardar 0
Einherji 2
KFB 0
Aegir 15
Smari 2
KFS 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Ulfarnir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
Throttur 0
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Dalvik/Reynir 5
Thor Akureyri 7
Samherjar 0
Sindri 2
KFA 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 0
Selfoss 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 2
KA Asvellir 0
Haukar 5
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
KFG Gardabaer 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Hviti 6
RB Keflavik 0
Kordrengir 5
Alftanes 0
Vestri 2
Vidir 0
Afturelding 3
Vaengirs 1
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Kari 2
Olafsvik 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 3
Reynir Hellissandur 0
IR Reykjavik 16
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 0
Reynir 4
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn 3
Einherji 2
Aegir 1
KFS 0
Fylkir 5
Ulfarnir 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Sindri 3
Akranes 5
Breidablik 6
Valur 2
Selfoss 2
Magni 1
Haukar 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 7
Keflavik 1
Njardvik 4
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Hviti 0
Kordrengir 2
Vestri 2
Afturelding 3
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IR Reykjavik 2
KA Akureyri 4
Reynir 1
Fram 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Hottur / Huginn 1
Aegir 3
Fylkir 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Akranes 2
Breidablik 3
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Njardvik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Kordrengir 2
Afturelding 1
Hafnarfjordur 6
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri 4
Fram 1
Aegir 1
Fylkir 0
Quarter-finals
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
KR Reykjavik 3
Kordrengir 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
KA Akureyri 3
Aegir 0
Semi-finals
Breidablik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
