Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Halldorsson E.
45'
Gunnarsson A.
46'
Sub
Jakobsen C. In: Helgason P.
Out: Jakobsen C.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Thor Akureyri and Vikingur Reykjavik finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Thor Akureyri
22%
Draws
60%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri haven't matched Vikingur Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 25
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:1
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
6:0
Feb 23, 2025 League Cup
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
0:0
Jun 5, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:2
Mar 12, 2021 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlynsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudbrandsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 18 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor Akureyri found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Thor Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vikingur Reykjavik has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Vikingur Reykjavik
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
12 Jul
Fram
6 : 1
Thor Akureyri
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3
KR Reykjavik
28 Jun
Thor Akureyri
2 : 4
Valur
21 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Away)
21 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Jul
Gyor
2 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
07 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
1 : 0
Gyor
02 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
KA Akureyri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram15103241:2833
4Breidablik1575334:2626
5Keflavik1554624:2819
6Valur1661926:3219
7IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
8Stjarnan1543828:3615
9Akranes1543821:3315
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1526720:3112
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)