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Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Thor Akureyri Logo

Thor Akureyri

2 - 1
FT
Vikingur Reykjavik Logo

Vikingur Reykjavik

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Halldorsson E.
45'
Gunnarsson A.
46'
Sub
Jakobsen C. In: Helgason P.
Out: Jakobsen C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Thor Akureyri and Vikingur Reykjavik finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thor Akureyri
20%
Draws
38%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thor Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri haven't matched Vikingur Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 11%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:1
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
6:0
Feb 23, 2025 League Cup
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
0:0
Jun 5, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:2
Mar 12, 2021 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlynsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudbrandsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 18 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Thor Akureyri scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Vikingur Reykjavik has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Thor Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Vikingur Reykjavik
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
10 Oct
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)