Sport Picks
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Icelandic Cup Women Thorsvollur, Akureyri 
Match Events
8'
8'
Jorundsdottir S.
45'
45'
Finnbogadottir B.
66'
66'
Jorundsdottir S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thor/KA W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Stjarnan W at 2.21 per game, Thor/KA W at 1.79.
- Win probability leans Thor/KA W's way, sitting at 50%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Stjarnan W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Stjarnan W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 20%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thor/KA W | Stjarnan W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
3:2
May 15, 2026 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
1:4
May 6, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thor/KA W Compare
Top Goalscorer Finnbogadottir B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Stjarnan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jorundsdottir S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Steindorsdottir T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thor/KA W 49 / 100
Stjarnan W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thor/KA W Stjarnan W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thor/KA W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thor/KA W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.
Stjarnan W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Difficult form: Stjarnan W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Thor/KA W VS Stjarnan W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Thor/KA W
(Home) 25 Sept
Thor/KA W
1 : 2 Fram W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1 Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1 Thor/KA W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0 Thor/KA W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1 Valur W
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Thor/KA W
1 : 2 Fram W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1 Valur W
07 Aug
Thor/KA W
2 : 0 Fram W
19 Jul
Thor/KA W
2 : 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
09 Jul
Thor/KA W
1 : 0 Grindavik/Njardvik W
Page 1 of 3
Stjarnan W
(Away) 27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1 Stjarnan W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0 Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2 Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2 Stjarnan W
20 Aug
Stjarnan W
2 : 0 Breidablik W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Throttur W
5 : 1 Stjarnan W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0 Stjarnan W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2 Stjarnan W
13 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
3 : 2 Stjarnan W
21 Jul
Hafnarfjordur W
7 : 3 Stjarnan W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Kopavogur W -
TBD -
Fylkir W 2
Grotta W 1
FHL W 7
Einherji W 1
Volsungur W 6
Dalvik/Reynir W 0
Fram W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding W -
KH Hlidarendi W -
Akranes W 5
Fjolnir W 1
Valur W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik/Njardvik W -
Thor/KA W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan W -
Throttur W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik W -
KT Reykjavik W 5
KFR W 2
Keflavik W 2
KR Reykjavik W 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik W -
Tindastoll W -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik W 2
Alftanes W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W -
Selfoss W 7
Augnablik W 1
Haukar W 8
Smari W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur W -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur W 2
Fylkir W 3
FHL W 7
Volsungur W 0
Fram W -
TBD -
Afturelding W 1
Akranes W 2
Valur W -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik/Njardvik W -
Thor/KA W -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan W -
Throttur W -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik W -
KT Reykjavik W 3
Keflavik W 8
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik W -
Tindastoll W 3
IR Reykjavik W 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W -
Selfoss W 2
Haukar W 1
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur W -
1/8-finals
Fylkir W 1
FHL W 2
Fram W 3
Akranes W 0
Valur W 2
Grindavik/Njardvik W 3
Thor/KA W 1
Stjarnan W 4
Throttur W 3
Breidablik W 2
Keflavik W 0
Vikingur Reykjavik W 2
Tindastoll W 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5
Selfoss W 0
Hafnarfjordur W 7
Quarter-finals
FHL W 1
Fram W 7
Grindavik/Njardvik W 2
Stjarnan W 1
Throttur W 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3
Hafnarfjordur W 2
Semi-finals
Fram W 0
Grindavik/Njardvik W 3
Throttur W 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 0
Final
Grindavik/Njardvik W 1
Throttur W 2
