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Thrakis vs Apollon Paralimniou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thrakis host Apollon Paralimniou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. Thrakis go into this one as the clear favorite. Apollon Paralimniou have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Thrakis have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.5. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.54 - 1.06) back Thrakis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thrakis
25%
Draws
35%
Apollon Paralimniou
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Thrakis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apollon Paralimniou lately — more wins on the board than Thrakis.
  • Win probability leans Thrakis's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Thrakis Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Paralimniou Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thrakis Apollon Paralimniou
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 8
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thrakis 40 / 100
Apollon Paralimniou 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thrakis Apollon Paralimniou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thrakis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Apollon Paralimniou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Thrakis scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Apollon Paralimniou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thrakis VS Apollon Paralimniou
0.33 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thrakis

(Home)
18 Oct
Pontion Nea Amisos
2 : 1
Thrakis
10 Oct
Thrakis
0 : 1
Kavala

Apollon Paralimniou

(Away)
18 Oct
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 3
Kavala
10 Oct
Doxa Dramas
2 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
27 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 0
Alexandroupoli FC
16 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
12 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doxa Dramas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Xanthi 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Kavala 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 Pontion Nea Amisos 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Sidirochori 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
7 Aetos Ofryniou 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 Eleftheroupolis 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
9 Thrakis 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
10 Apollon Paralimniou 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)