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Three Kings vs Central United

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Central United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Three Kings
15%
Draws
51%
Central United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Central United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Central United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Central United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Central United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Three Kings Clean Sheet 10%
Central United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Three Kings Central United
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 2 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2015 Chatham Cup
Central United vs Three Kings
2:0
Jul 8, 2012 Chatham Cup
Three Kings vs Central United
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Three Kings 26 / 100
Central United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Three Kings Central United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Three Kings scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Central United conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Three Kings has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Three Kings VS Central United
2 Goals Scored 3.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Three Kings

(Home)
15 Jul
Three Kings
1 : 2
Birkenhead
28 Aug
Waitakere City
6 : 1
Three Kings
06 Aug
Three Kings
6 : 1
North Wellington
16 Jul
Te Atatu FC
1 : 2
Three Kings
12 Jul
Central United
2 : 0
Three Kings
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Central United

(Away)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1