Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kristjansson K.
(Penalty)
32'
Kooistra B.
35' Event
Ingason A.
Assist: Hardarson B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Throttur and Afturelding finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Throttur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Throttur
15%
Draws
32%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur have managed 2.21 goals a game lately — Afturelding are scoring more at 2.93.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Throttur Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Afturelding
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.21 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
4:1
May 22, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
4:3
Aug 19, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
1:0
Jun 13, 2024 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hinriksson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrainsson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 30 / 100
Afturelding 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Throttur went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Afturelding conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Afturelding
2.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
Page 1 of 6

Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)