Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kristjansson K.
(Penalty)
32'
Kooistra B.
35' Event
Ingason A.
Assist: Hardarson B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Throttur and Afturelding finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Throttur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Throttur
20%
Draws
42%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Throttur's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Throttur Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Afturelding
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.26 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
4:1
May 22, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
4:3
Aug 19, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
1:0
Jun 13, 2024 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hinriksson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrainsson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 38 / 100
Afturelding 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Afturelding conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Throttur remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Afturelding
2 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
08 Aug
Grotta
1 : 1
Throttur
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5
Throttur
18 Jul
Throttur
1 : 0
Volsungur
10 Jul
IR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Throttur
Page 1 of 6

Afturelding

(Away)
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1
Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
11 Jul
Volsungur
1 : 6
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 16 11 1 4 48:26 34
2 Throttur 17 10 4 3 37:17 34
3 Fylkir 17 11 0 6 35:26 33
4 Njardvik 17 9 2 6 27:22 29
5 Kopavogur 17 9 1 7 40:32 28
6 Grotta 16 8 2 6 33:29 26
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 17 6 4 7 23:25 22
8 Vestri 17 6 3 8 27:37 21
9 IR Reykjavik 17 5 4 8 30:38 19
10 Grindavik 17 3 8 6 17:24 17
11 Volsungur 17 3 5 9 23:39 14
12 Aegir 17 2 2 13 21:46 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)