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Stadium Background

Throttur Vogar vs Haukar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Erlingsson E.
77' Event
Ingvarsson E.
89' Event
Thordarson T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Throttur Vogar and Haukar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
51%
Haukar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haukar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar haven't matched Haukar's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Throttur Vogar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%
Haukar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar Haukar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
2:1
May 1, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Haukar
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Haukar
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Haukar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Erlingsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thordarson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Haukar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvarsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 30 / 100
Haukar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar Haukar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Haukar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Haukar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS Haukar
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

Haukar

(Away)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
12 Sept
Kari
4 : 0
Haukar
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4
Haukar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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