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Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Begic A.
88' Event
Salmi I.
Own Goal
90' Event
Blaengsson J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Olafsvik in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olafsvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
51%
Olafsvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olafsvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar haven't matched Olafsvik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Throttur Vogar a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 13%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar Olafsvik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar
2:1
Jun 10, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar
2:0
Jul 26, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 57 / 100
Olafsvik 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar Olafsvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur Vogar scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Olafsvik has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Olafsvik has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS Olafsvik
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

Olafsvik

(Away)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4
Haukar
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)