Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur W vs Stjarnan W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women AVIS vollurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Baldursdottir A.
61' Event
Wirtz E.
Assist: Palsdottir A.
65'
Sub
Gudmunsdottir S. In: Knudsen B.
Out: Gudmunsdottir S.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Throttur W and Stjarnan W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stjarnan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Throttur W
20%
Draws
22%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Throttur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Throttur W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Throttur W Clean Sheet 18%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Throttur W
1:1
May 25, 2026 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Stjarnan W
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Throttur W
5:0
Oct 11, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Throttur W
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Stjarnan W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wirtz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur W 31 / 100
Stjarnan W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur W Stjarnan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Stjarnan W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Throttur W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur W VS Stjarnan W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur W

(Home)
18 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
4 : 3
Throttur W
12 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 2
Throttur W
07 Sept
Throttur W
1 : 1
Breidablik W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
21 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
1 : 2
Throttur W
Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan W

(Away)
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
20 Aug
Stjarnan W
2 : 0
Breidablik W
13 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)