Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thun vs Grasshoppers

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Matoshi V.
17' Event
Lee Young-Jun
Assist: Plange L.
30'
Diaby A.

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Thun
15%
Draws
21%
Grasshoppers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Grasshoppers haven't matched Thun's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Thun taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Thun Clean Sheet 15%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Grasshoppers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.11 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
5:1
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Thun
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Swiss Cup
Thun vs Grasshoppers
0:2
May 31, 2024 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Kait M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montolio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Young-Jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 48 / 100
Grasshoppers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Grasshoppers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thun scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Grasshoppers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Grasshoppers has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Grasshoppers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
13 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
Thun
09 Aug
Basel
4 : 2
Thun
06 Aug
Thun
3 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik
01 Aug
Thun
0 : 6
Young Boys
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
Page 1 of 6

Grasshoppers

(Away)
08 Aug
Servette
2 : 1
Grasshoppers
02 Aug
Grasshoppers
1 : 4
Lugano
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 33 24 2 7 75:37 74
2 St. Gallen 33 17 9 7 64:40 60
3 Lugano 33 16 9 8 50:38 57
4 Basel 33 15 8 10 51:45 53
5 Sion 33 13 13 7 51:35 52
6 Young Boys 33 13 9 11 65:60 48
7 Luzern 33 10 10 13 64:61 40
8 Servette 33 9 13 11 57:57 40
9 Lausanne 33 10 9 14 47:57 39
10 Zurich 33 10 4 19 45:63 34
11 Grasshoppers 33 6 9 18 40:65 27
12 Winterthur 33 4 7 22 35:86 19
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)