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Thun vs Grasshoppers

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Matoshi V.
17' Event
Lee Young-Jun
Assist: Plange L.
30'
Diaby A.

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Thun
11%
Draws
9%
Grasshoppers
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Grasshoppers haven't matched Thun's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Thun taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Grasshoppers
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
5:1
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Thun
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Swiss Cup
Thun vs Grasshoppers
0:2
May 31, 2024 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Kait M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montolio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Young-Jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 74 / 100
Grasshoppers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Grasshoppers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thun scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Grasshoppers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Thun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Grasshoppers
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
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Grasshoppers

(Away)
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
01 Jul
Cham
2 : 3
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun33242775:3774
2St. Gallen33179764:4060
3Lugano33169850:3857
4Basel331581051:4553
5Sion331313751:3552
6Young Boys331391165:6048
7Luzern3310101364:6140
8Servette339131157:5740
9Lausanne331091447:5739
10Zurich331041945:6334
11Grasshoppers33691840:6527
12Winterthur33472235:8619
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)