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Thun vs Hajduk Split - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Conference League Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thun host Hajduk Split in the Conference League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Hajduk Split have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Thun have conceded 2.37 and scored 1.89. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Hajduk Split. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Thun
15%
Draws
57%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hajduk Split lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
  • Thun are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Thun Clean Sheet 15%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Hajduk Split
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.89 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 39 / 100
Hajduk Split 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Hajduk Split let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Thun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Hajduk Split registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Hajduk Split
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
03 Oct
Thun
2 : 0
Kriens
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

Hajduk Split

(Away)
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mjallby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Gent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Twente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Brann 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Braga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Lugano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Crvena zvezda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 KF Egnatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 FK Kauno Zalgiris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Univ. Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Riga FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)