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Thun vs Young Boys Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Monteiro J.
Assist: Sanches A.
24' Event
Blum L.
33' Event
Fernandes E.
Assist: Blum L.

AI Match Summary

Young Boys in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Thun
30%
Draws
51%
Young Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Boys have won more games recently than Thun.
  • Win probability leans Young Boys's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Young Boys
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.9 2.9
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
0:6
May 14, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
3:8
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Thun
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
4:1
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Thun
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blum L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 18 / 100
Young Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Young Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

Thun scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Young Boys let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Thun remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Young Boys
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
Page 1 of 6

Young Boys

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 9 8 1 0 27:7 25
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 9 4 1 4 17:17 13
5 St. Gallen 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
8 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
9 Thun 9 3 1 5 15:23 10
10 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
11 Vaduz 9 2 0 7 18:21 6
12 Lausanne 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)