Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thun W vs Aarau W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Klingenstein A.
41' Event
Batschelet C.
62'
Sub
Deda D. In: Gartmann J.
Out: Deda D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Thun W
15%
Draws
8%
Aarau W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thun W lately — more wins on the board than Aarau W.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Thun W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aarau W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Thun W Clean Sheet 19%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun W Aarau W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.4 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Thun W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Aarau W
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Aarau W
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Thun W
3:1
Mar 23, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs Aarau W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Batschelet C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Aarau W Compare

Top Goalscorer Klingenstein A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun W 85 / 100
Aarau W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun W Aarau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Thun W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Thun W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun W VS Aarau W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun W

(Home)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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Aarau W

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
29 Aug
Aarau W
0 : 8
Zurich W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)