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Thun W vs St. Gallen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Thun
Thun W Logo

Thun W

1 - 1
FT
St. Gallen W Logo

St. Gallen W

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Ueltschi R.
58'
Sub
Risch K. In: Baumann L.
Out: Risch K.
58'
Sub
Cavelti S. In: Nilsson S.
Out: Cavelti S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Thun W and St. Gallen W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Thun W
15%
Draws
8%
St. Gallen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Gallen W come out ahead of Thun W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Thun W a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Gallen W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thun W Clean Sheet 16%
St. Gallen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun W St. Gallen W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs St. Gallen W
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Thun W
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Thun W
4:0
Aug 31, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs St. Gallen W
0:3
Feb 10, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs St. Gallen W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Minnig J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

St. Gallen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eisenring L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun W 84 / 100
St. Gallen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun W St. Gallen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thun W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

St. Gallen W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Thun W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thun W VS St. Gallen W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun W

(Home)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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St. Gallen W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Gallen W
0 : 3
Servette W
19 Sept
St. Gallen W
1 : 4
Grasshopper W
13 Sept
Young Boys W
4 : 1
St. Gallen W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)