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Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

Thunder Bay Chill host Rochester FC in the USL League Two 2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Rochester FC have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Thunder Bay Chill have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Thunder Bay Chill slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2024, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.49, favoring Thunder Bay Chill. Thunder Bay Chill in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Thunder Bay Chill
6%
Draws
4%
Rochester FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thunder Bay Chill has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rochester FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Thunder Bay Chill.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 16%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill Rochester FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC
2:0
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:4
Jun 30, 2023 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:2
Jun 2, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Rochester FC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 84 / 100
Rochester FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill Rochester FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Rochester FC let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Thunder Bay Chill went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rochester FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rochester FC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%