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Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

Agios Nikolaos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thyella Diastavroseos play Agios Nikolaos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thyella Diastavroseos averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Agios Nikolaos averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Thyella Diastavroseos won 4, Agios Nikolaos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 23, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Thyella Diastavroseos and 0.88 for Agios Nikolaos. This points to a Thyella Diastavroseos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Thyella Diastavroseos

16%

Draws

37%

Agios Nikolaos

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Thyella Diastavroseos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Thyella Diastavroseos picked up more points recently compared to Agios Nikolaos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Thyella Diastavroseos Clean Sheet 25%

Agios Nikolaos Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thyella Diastavroseos	Agios Nikolaos
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	10	4
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Thyella Diastavroseos vs Agios Nikolaos

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

4:2

Nov 10, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Agios Nikolaos vs Thyella Diastavroseos

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Feb 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Thyella Diastavroseos vs Agios Nikolaos

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Nov 13, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Agios Nikolaos vs Thyella Diastavroseos

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Mar 23, 2014 Football League 2 - Group F

Thyella Diastavroseos vs Agios Nikolaos

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thyella Diastavroseos 47 / 100

Agios Nikolaos 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thyella Diastavroseos Agios Nikolaos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thyella Diastavroseos or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thyella Diastavroseos attacking → ← attacking Agios Nikolaos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thyella Diastavroseos scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Agios Nikolaos let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Thyella Diastavroseos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Agios Nikolaos lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 43

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16