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Tiangua EC vs Quixada Prediction & H2H Stats

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Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Dico
45' Event
Gustavo Queiroz
58'
Renan

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Tiangua EC and Quixada finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quixada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tiangua EC
15%
Draws
36%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiangua EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tiangua EC haven't matched Quixada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tiangua EC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 20%
Quixada Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiangua EC Quixada
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2024 Cearense 3
Tiangua EC vs Quixada
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiangua EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Dico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Queiroz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiangua EC 40 / 100
Quixada 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiangua EC Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiangua EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Quixada has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tiangua EC's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Quixada conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tiangua EC VS Quixada
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiangua EC

(Home)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 3

Quixada

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)