Sport Picks
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin 
Match Events
16'
16'
Abreu F.
Assist: Yue Tze-Nam
45'
45'
Dawhan
Assist: Abreu F.
46'
46'
Sub
Wang Qiuming In: Wang Xianjun
Out: Wang Qiuming
AI Match Summary
Beijing Guoan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Beijing Guoan's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan
2:4
Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:4
Aug 3, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:2
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare
Top Goalscorer Liu J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quiles A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Abreu F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dawhan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 30 / 100
Beijing Guoan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Beijing Guoan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Beijing Guoan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Beijing Guoan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
(Home) 10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1 Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1 Qingdao West Coast
15 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 4 Beijing Guoan
01 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 2 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 3
Beijing Guoan
(Away) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
18 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 4 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
