Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Changchun Yatai

China China

Super League 2025 Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cyprien W.
33' Event
Cyprien W.
40'
Wang Qiuming

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Changchun Yatai finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
20%
Draws
38%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Changchun Yatai's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 17%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Changchun Yatai
2:2
May 17, 2025 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
Jul 17, 2024 FA Cup
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Changchun Yatai
4:3
Jul 6, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Changchun Yatai
2:2
Mar 31, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Xie Weijun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Cyprien W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 41 / 100
Changchun Yatai 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Changchun Yatai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Changchun Yatai conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Changchun Yatai
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30206472:4466
2Shanghai Shenhua30197467:3564
3Chengdu Rongcheng30179460:2860
4Beijing Guoan30176769:4657
5Shandong Taishan30158769:4653
6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301281040:4144
7Zhejiang Professional301012860:5142
8Yunnan Yukun301191047:5242
9Qingdao West Coast3010101039:4340
10Henan Songshan Longmen301071352:4837
11Dalian Yingbo30991230:4536
12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30831935:5927
13Wuhan Three Towns30671734:6225
14Qingdao Hainiu305101535:4825
15Meizhou Hakka30561936:7121
16Changchun Yatai30471926:5219