Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wang Xianjun
Assist: Cordoba A.
11'
Huang Jiahui
16' Event
Wei Shihao

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
28%
Draws
22%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chengdu Rongcheng lately — more wins on the board than Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.
  • Win probability leans Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 19%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:2
Jul 18, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Xianjun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wei Shihao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 49 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Chengdu Rongcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Chengdu Rongcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Chengdu Rongcheng
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Home)
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
31 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Dalian Yingbo
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Chengdu Rongcheng

(Away)
21 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
17 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)