Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Zhong Yihao
26' Event
Gustavo
46'
Sub
Wang Zhenghao In: Ba Dun
Out: Wang Zhenghao

AI Match Summary

Henan Songshan Longmen in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
28%
Draws
22%
Henan Songshan Longmen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Henan Songshan Longmen's recent run of results.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 68%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Henan Songshan Longmen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
May 5, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:4
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
May 4, 2024 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 59 / 100
Henan Songshan Longmen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Henan Songshan Longmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Henan Songshan Longmen let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Henan Songshan Longmen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Home)
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Away)
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
21 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Dalian Yingbo
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng20135241:2044
2Chongqing Tonglianglong2078523:2229
3Yunnan Yukun2084840:3828
4Dalian Yingbo1991930:3528
5Qingdao West Coast20610424:2928
6Shandong Taishan2093836:3624
7Zhejiang Professional2085730:3424
8Beijing Guoan1977532:2623
9Henan Songshan Longmen1983825:2421
10Liaoning Tieren19631025:3121
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng20621228:3720
12Shanghai Shenhua1985636:3119
13Shanghai Port1966730:2619
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Wuhan Three Towns1947827:3414
16Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)