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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
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Match Events

3'
Wang Qiuming
10' Event
Cordoba A.
Assist: Xadas B.
46'
Sub
Mawlanniyaz D. In: Zang Yifeng
Out: Mawlanniyaz D.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Liaoning Tieren finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
30%
Draws
6%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger come out ahead of Liaoning Tieren on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tianjin Jinmen Tiger a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 20%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 85 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Liaoning Tieren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liaoning Tieren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Liaoning Tieren
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Home)
10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

Liaoning Tieren

(Away)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)