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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
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Match Events

34' Event
Davidson
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Yang Fan In: Ji Shengpan
Out: Yang Fan
49'
Nan Song

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Qingdao West Coast finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
35%
Draws
25%
Qingdao West Coast
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger come out ahead of Qingdao West Coast on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao West Coast Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Qingdao West Coast
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West Coast
1:1
May 5, 2026 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West Coast
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West Coast
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Wu Xinghan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Qingdao West Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 41 / 100
Qingdao West Coast 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Qingdao West Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Qingdao West Coast has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Qingdao West Coast
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Home)
10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

Qingdao West Coast

(Away)
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
09 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)