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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger play Shanghai Shenhua in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Shanghai Shenhua averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0, Shanghai Shenhua won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 1.50 for Shanghai Shenhua. This points to a Shanghai Shenhua double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
25%
Draws
45%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger picked up more points recently compared to Shanghai Shenhua.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 16%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
May 11, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu Chenjie
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Ratao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 30 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shanghai Shenhua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shanghai Shenhua or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attacking → ← attacking Shanghai Shenhua

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Shanghai Shenhua let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shanghai Shenhua lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 48
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chengdu Rongcheng17132237:1641
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1776421:1927
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Yunnan Yukun1773731:2924
5Qingdao West Coast1759322:2524
6Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
7Shandong Taishan1783630:2821
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
10Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521022:3117
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348