Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen FC

China China

Super League 2023 Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Liu Yue
Assist: Yuan Mincheng
46'
Sub
Wang Jia'nan In: Su Yuanjie
Out: Wang Jia'nan
46'
Sub
Chen Xiangyu In: Ghojaehmet Shahzat
Out: Chen Xiangyu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
6%
Draws
4%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have won more games recently than Shenzhen FC.
  • Win probability leans Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2023 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen FC
3:3
Apr 26, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:2
Jun 29, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:3
Jun 9, 2022 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen FC
1:2
Oct 21, 2020 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare

Top Goalscorer Xie Weijun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wang Qiuming
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shenzhen FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Yue
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xu Haofeng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 95 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shenzhen FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Shenzhen FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Shenzhen FC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Home)
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
31 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Dalian Yingbo
Page 1 of 7

Shenzhen FC

(Away)
04 Nov
Shenzhen FC
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0
Shenzhen FC
29 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 1
Changchun Yatai
24 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 5
Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Relegation - Jia League 2024 (Main)