Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tienen vs Dessel

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mathei J.
48' Event
Boulhassane S.
55' Event
Vandersmissen Y. J.

AI Match Summary

Dessel in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tienen
30%
Draws
58%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dessel at 2.03 per game, Tienen at 1.23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tienen Clean Sheet 12%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Dessel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.23 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Tienen
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Tienen
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
2:1
May 11, 2024 National Division 1
Tienen vs Dessel
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Boulhassane S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vandersmissen Y. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 30 / 100
Dessel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dessel conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tienen scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Tienen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Dessel
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
19 Apr
Knokke
2 : 0
Tienen
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
Page 1 of 6

Dessel

(Away)
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
28 Mar
Dessel
3 : 1
Zelzate
21 Mar
Dessel
4 : 3
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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