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Tienen vs Dessel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mathei J.
48' Event
Boulhassane S.
55' Event
Vandersmissen Y. J.

AI Match Summary

Dessel in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tienen
35%
Draws
32%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dessel lately — more wins on the board than Tienen.
  • Tienen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tienen Clean Sheet 13%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Dessel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.45 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
3:4
Apr 12, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Tienen
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Tienen
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Boulhassane S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vandersmissen Y. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 57 / 100
Dessel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dessel conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tienen scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Tienen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Dessel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
27 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 3
Tienen
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
Page 1 of 6

Dessel

(Away)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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