Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tienen vs Diegem

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Soumah D.
14' Event
Harrak A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Marchal A.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Tienen and Diegem finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tienen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tienen
30%
Draws
29%
Diegem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tienen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Tienen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Tienen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tienen Clean Sheet 14%
Diegem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Diegem
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Diegem
5:1
Nov 30, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs Tienen
2:1
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Tienen vs Diegem
1:0
Dec 15, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Diegem vs Tienen
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Tienen vs Diegem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumah D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Sula D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 75 / 100
Diegem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Diegem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Diegem conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tienen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tienen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Diegem
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
27 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 3
Tienen
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
Page 1 of 6

Diegem

(Away)
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
20 Sept
Diegem
2 : 2
Bocholter
13 Sept
St. Truiden 2
6 : 2
Diegem
06 Sept
Diegem
5 : 2
Eendracht Termien
30 Aug
KRC Mechelen
1 : 1
Diegem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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