Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tienen vs Diegem

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Soumah D.
14' Event
Harrak A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Marchal A.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Tienen and Diegem finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tienen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tienen
30%
Draws
47%
Diegem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diegem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Tienen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Tienen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tienen Clean Sheet 12%
Diegem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Diegem
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Diegem
5:1
Nov 30, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs Tienen
2:1
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Tienen vs Diegem
1:0
Dec 15, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Diegem vs Tienen
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Tienen vs Diegem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumah D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Sula D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 83 / 100
Diegem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Diegem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Diegem conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tienen scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Diegem lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Diegem
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
19 Apr
Knokke
2 : 0
Tienen
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
Page 1 of 6

Diegem

(Away)
30 Jun
Diegem
0 : 7
Royale Union SG
26 Apr
Diegem
2 : 3
Belisia Bilzen
19 Apr
Thes Sport
6 : 3
Diegem
12 Apr
SK Roeselare
2 : 2
Diegem
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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