Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiferno Lerchi vs Follonica Gavorrano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mugelli F.
35' Event
Tiganj E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Tiferno Lerchi and Follonica Gavorrano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Follonica Gavorrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tiferno Lerchi
6%
Draws
90%
Follonica Gavorrano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Follonica Gavorrano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Follonica Gavorrano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tiferno Lerchi Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiferno Lerchi Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Tiferno Lerchi vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Tiferno Lerchi
1:1
Jun 5, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Tiferno Lerchi vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Jan 31, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Tiferno Lerchi
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiferno Lerchi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugelli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiganj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiferno Lerchi 10 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiferno Lerchi Follonica Gavorrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiferno Lerchi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Follonica Gavorrano let in goals in 75% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tiferno Lerchi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follonica Gavorrano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiferno Lerchi

(Home)
15 May
Tiferno Lerchi
2 : 2
Scandicci
08 May
Cannara
1 : 1
Tiferno Lerchi
01 May
Tiferno Lerchi
0 : 3
Pianese
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Tiferno Lerchi
1 : 4
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Follonica Gavorrano

(Away)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2
Tau
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3
Follonica Gavorrano
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1
Orvietana
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)