Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022

Tiferno Lerchi

1 - 4

Poggibonsi

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Motti M.

41'

Poggesi A.

47'

Poggesi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Tiferno Lerchi and Poggibonsi finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poggibonsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tiferno Lerchi

11%

Draws

80%

Poggibonsi

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Poggibonsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Tiferno Lerchi have managed 0 goals a game lately — Poggibonsi are scoring more at 1.13.
Win probability leans Poggibonsi's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Tiferno Lerchi Clean Sheet 21%

Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tiferno Lerchi	Poggibonsi
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Serie D - Group E

Tiferno Lerchi vs Poggibonsi

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group E

Poggibonsi vs Tiferno Lerchi

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiferno Lerchi Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Urso N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Poggesi A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Motti M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiferno Lerchi 12 / 100

Poggibonsi 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tiferno Lerchi Poggibonsi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tiferno Lerchi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Poggibonsi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Tiferno Lerchi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Poggibonsi

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	26	3	5	86:30	81
2	Poggibonsi	34	23	5	6	61:28	74
3	Arezzo	34	18	10	6	65:45	64
4	Follonica Gavorrano	34	18	9	7	63:30	63
5	Pianese	34	16	8	10	58:42	56
6	Lornano Badesse	34	15	9	10	47:43	54
7	Sporting Trestina	34	13	10	11	48:43	49
8	Flaminia	34	13	7	14	49:50	46
9	Tiferno Lerchi	34	10	12	12	36:48	42
10	Montespaccato	34	11	9	14	43:44	42
11	Mobilieri Ponsacco	34	11	9	14	39:40	42
12	Sangiovannese	34	9	14	11	37:39	41
13	Scandicci	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
14	FC Rieti	34	9	8	17	39:58	35
15	Foligno	34	9	8	17	46:65	35
16	Unipomezia	34	8	7	19	38:64	31
17	Cannara	34	5	9	20	27:52	24
18	Pro Livorno	34	5	6	23	31:84	21