Sport Picks
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
Australia
NPL ACT Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex, Jerrabomberra 
Match Events
26'
26'
Owusu D.
30'
30'
Milicevic A.
66'
66'
Williams M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL ACT game between Tigers FC and Tuggeranong United finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigers FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tigers FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tigers FC come out ahead of Tuggeranong United on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Tigers FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tigers FC Clean Sheet 15%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigers FC | Tuggeranong United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
4:1
May 2, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Tigers FC
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
4:1
Jun 29, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Tigers FC
0:3
May 3, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Tuggeranong United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigers FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Owusu D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Milicevic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Tuggeranong United Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tigers FC 41 / 100
Tuggeranong United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tigers FC Tuggeranong United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigers FC scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
Tuggeranong United has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Tigers FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tigers FC VS Tuggeranong United
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tigers FC
(Home) 25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tigers FC
0 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
04 Jul
Canberra White Eagles
0 : 2 Tigers FC
27 Jun
Monaro Panthers
2 : 0 Tigers FC
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tigers FC
0 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
20 Jun
Tigers FC
1 : 1 Canberra Croatia
23 May
Tigers FC
7 : 0 Brindabella Blues
Page 1 of 4
Tuggeranong United
(Away) 25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tuggeranong United
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
30 May
Canberra Juventus
5 : 0 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 48:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 56:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 47:21 | 35 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 37:34 | 33 |
| 5 | Canberra Juventus | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 34:43 | 17 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 16:31 | 16 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24:35 | 9 |
| 10 | Canberra White Eagles | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14:48 | 7 |
| 11 | Brindabella Blues | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8:46 | 6 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)
